Decipherment · June 1916

Qianmi (乾密): a telegram and its key

A cipher telegram sent from Tokyo by Huang Xing just after Yuan Shikai’s death: in Tokyo the attitude has not changed, and he waits for the negotiations to progress. The key, a renumbered “明密” code book, was recovered following an idea of S. Tomokiyo.[27]

Idea of the key model (renumbered 明密 book): S. Tomokiyo (Cryptiana) [22]. Grid reading order and re-reading of all digits: Brice Dudout. Transcription, key search, probable readings and translation: Claude (Anthropic).

Only one telegram is read: the key rests on 17 groups. It passes the checks (controls, signature, date), but three characters are probable readings, and N03, another 乾密 telegram from the same sender, stays unreadable with it (another key or faulty digits). Translations are working proposals; identifications of people are candidates.

The key

Sheets are read in columns, right to left and top to bottom (reading order proposed by Brice Dudout), in groups of four digits. The first six groups are the address, in clear (public telegraph code); then comes the public prefix 0051 1378 = 乾密; the next 17 groups are enciphered. Each group reads as page + column + row in a “明密” code book whose numbers were rewritten: P = 100 × page + 10 × column + row, the row running from 1 to 10 (row 10 is the xxx0 character at the foot of the column); P is the character’s number in the Chinese telegraph code (CTC).

Page (first two digits): written page minus 11 — 11 = page 00, 12 = 01, …, 50 = 39, and so on.

11→0012→0113→0214→0315→0416→0517→0618→0719→0820→09…50→39
Digit read0123456789
column6732804951
row76214938105

Examples:

GroupPageColumnRowPCTC
709670 → 599 → 16 → 35913袁
404440 → 294 → 84 → 42984死
111411 → 001 → 74 → 40074交

S. Tomokiyo’s idea. On 23 October 2026, S. Tomokiyo showed that our three keys 共密, 容密 and 辰密 are mere renumberings of the pages, columns and rows of a “明密” book, with no arithmetic at all [22]. Our finding. We applied this model to the “X密” telegrams that were still unreadable: pages numbered by a simple rule (backwards, cyclic or zero-free), columns and rows freely permuted, fitted to a language model, under a protocol fixed before computing: synthetic messages of the same length (positive controls) and shuffled digits (negative controls). N09 stands out clearly (score 4.47 against 2.88 for the best control); the text reads, ends with the expected signature 興 and begins with “袁死” (Yuan is dead), which fits its place in the file (6–9 June). The three aberrant groups were re-read twice on the image by Brice Dudout, the second time blind: the digits are sound.

In the proposed reading, {x} replaces an anomalous decoded character with a probable reading; the note says whether a variant of the cipher group differing by a single digit gives that character, or whether it is a contextual reading. 〔x〕: character kept, unresolved.

Context

The form (JACAR B03050089200, PDF 49) is a copy (“Copy”) without date. The sender is Huang Xing’s house in Tokyo, 青山南町三ノ五三; the addressee, in the French concession of Shanghai, on カヒロ (霞飛路, Avenue Joffre), is written ジヨンシヨウ, a Japanese reading of two characters we cannot identify. The inner address, in clear, asks for the message to be passed to “Ma and Geng, my two brothers” (馬, 耿), not identified.

The 乾密 prefix also appears on N03, another telegram sent from the same house in early June; N03 stays unreadable with N09’s key. Both telegrams are filed between those of 3 and 8 June.

“此間態度未變” (the attitude here has not changed) echoes N13 of 9 June: “日態度頗觀望”, Japan is still waiting and seeing.

Historical context

Yuan Shikai died on 6 June 1916. Huang Xing, then in Tokyo, had for weeks been negotiating arms purchases and loans in Japan for the provinces in revolt (see the 容密 telegrams). N09 gives the state of things just after the news: the Japanese attitude has not moved, and he will wait for the negotiations to take shape before cabling again. A few days later N13 and N17 add that Japan is waiting and will not lend to Beijing until North and South are unified.

N09

17 groups · Date: between 6 and 9 June 1916 (undated “Copy” form) · Direction: Tokyo → Shanghai · 2 sheets · digits re-read by Brice Dudout

Huang Xing, just after Yuan Shikai’s death: in Tokyo the attitude has not changed; he will wait for the negotiations to progress before cabling again.

Raw decoding, uncorrected

轉馬耿兩倥鑒袁死此間態度卵變侯交涉有望再電命興

Proposed reading

轉馬、耿兩{兄}鑒:袁死。此間態度{未}變,{候}交涉有望,再電{告}。興。

Translation

To be passed to my two brothers Ma and Geng: Yuan is dead. Here the attitude has not changed; I shall wait until the negotiations look promising and cable again. Xing.

Forms and JACAR sources

N09-1 · B03050089200 PDF 49 R · JACAR · scan

JACAR B03050089200 N09-1

N09-2 · B03050089200 PDF 49 L · JACAR · scan

JACAR B03050089200 N09-2
Digits and CTC, group by group
#CCTCChar.Sheet
in clear65676567轉N09-1
in clear74567456馬N09-1
in clear51055105耿N09-1
in clear03570357兩N09-1
in clear02380238倥N09-1
in clear70037003鑒N09-1
prefix00510051乾N09-1
prefix13781378密N09-1
970965913袁N09-1
1040442984死N09-1
1140142974此N09-1
1281297035間N09-1
1330011966態N09-1
1427861653度N09-2
1517500607卵N09-2
1673256239變N09-2
1712410186侯N09-2
1811140074交N09-2
1942793195涉N09-2
2036452589有N09-2
2136772598望N09-2
2214190375再N09-2
2382767193電N09-2
2418380730命N09-2
2563435281興N09-2

Aligned critical translation

The segment-by-segment working translation is in French. See the French aligned translation

Sources: JACAR form [27]; key model: S. Tomokiyo [22]; day codes: Academia Sinica. Decoder and check of the key factorisation: solver/numeric1916.

See also the method and the Chenmi, Rongmi and Gongmi pages.